Cannabis Hits A Federal And Constitutional Squeeze Point

By Shawn Collins of the THC Group. For more insights, check out his Policy, Decoded newsletter.

What Happened: Federal cannabis policy is entering a period of forced convergence between three distinct legal tracks. On the rescheduling front, President Trump’s executive order directs the Department of Justice to complete the reclassification of marijuana to Schedule III with maximum speed. While the order seeks an expeditious conclusion, the administrative rulemaking process remains technically stayed following a January 2025 interlocutory appeal regarding the disqualification of the DEA as a proponent.

Simultaneously, the industry is preparing for the implementation of Public Law 119-37. Effective November 12th, the federal definition of hemp shifts to a total THC standard and imposes a rigid 0.4 mg per container limit on intoxicating products. This statutory cliff is coinciding with a fundamental disagreement in the federal courts. The Ninth Circuit’s recent Peridot Tree decision, which held that the dormant commerce clause does not protect federally illegal cannabis markets, stands in direct opposition to the Second Circuit’s Variscite ruling.

Why It Matters: Cannabis markets don’t function like typical consumer products (or medical for that matter). We have known that. In this instance, as has been the case historically, the regulatory timeline will dictate your capital allocation more than actual market demand. The transition to a total THC measurement and the 0.4 mg container cap effectively reclassifies the majority of the existing intoxicating hemp market as Schedule I marijuana overnight. Operators face a binary choice: reformulate their entire SKU catalog to meet de minimis thresholds or successfully navigate a state level cannabis licensing process that can take up to a year to finalize.

The circuit split on the dormant commerce clause adds a layer of geographic risk to these operational decisions. In states under the jurisdiction of the First and Second Circuits, residency based licensing preferences are constitutionally vulnerable. Those same rules remain enforceable in the Ninth Circuit. , this lack of judicial uniformity means a licensing strategy that is legally sound in Washington State could be treated as unconstitutional protectionism in New York. While circuit splits typically end up at the Supreme Court, these justices have shown little appetite to wade into cannabis…yet.

THC Group Take: Call your members of Congress first. Today.

Not as a gesture, as a business tool. Every mature regulated market does it, and there is a reason it works: lawmakers do not move because a trade association sends a PDF, they move because employers in their districts explain consequences in plain English. Make it concrete. Tell them how many people – voters – you employ, what you pay in wages, where you buy inputs, and what happens to that payroll if the federal hemp cliff doesn’t include a transition plan that distinguishes responsible, age-gated low-dose products from the worst actors. Ask for a specific outcome, not sympathy: more time and a real framework that leans on age gates, testing, labeling, and enforcement that targets fraud and synthetics. Invite them to see your facility. They have plenty to learn and you have nothing to hide.

Then do the unglamorous work that keeps you investable while Washington fights about verbs and dates. Build a SKU file that a skeptical regulator could read in five minutes and understand, covering inputs, conversion steps, total THC basis, packaging, serving design, labeling claims, age controls, and the exact channel path from production to sale. Put a second file next to it for your distribution model, because shipping, delivery, and retail setting are where tightening usually starts.

On rescheduling, plan like a CFO that has seen some shit: assume 280E stays with you until you have a final effective date and IRS guidance you would actually rely on, then treat any tax upside as a later-year variable. On hemp, treat November 12th as a manufacturing and retail transition deadline, because reformulation, packaging redesign, retailer resets, and inventory wind-down take real time and cash. If you’ve built around residency or local preference in the Northeast, I get why. It was how states tried to keep benefits local. I was one of those states, at least for some license types. The risk is that a court may see it as protectionism. You want a backup structure ready before litigation freezes things.

Most operators are trying to do this the right way. This is how you protect that effort: make the calls, build the binder, and keep your business out of the gray.

This article is from an external, unpaid contributor. It does not represent IgniteIt’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy. 

Photo by Sandie Clarke on Unsplash


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January 19, 2026 • 12:00 am
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